The National Electric System Operator - ONS, the Electric Energy Trading Chamber - CCEE and the Energy Research Company - EPE disclose the load forecast data for the Annual Energy Operation Planning - Cycle 2021 (2021-2025). Average load growth of 3.6% per year is expected over the study horizon. In 2021, the load is expected to increase by 3.4% in the SIN, considering an increase in GDP of 3.3%, influenced by the statistical load of 2020.

The main assumptions considered for the short term are the most concentrated pandemic impacts in the 2nd quarter, with recovery starting in mid-2020; measures to combat the crisis, with the good performance of exports that helped to reduce the negative effects of the pandemic on economic activity; and the gradual recovery of the labor market throughout 2021.

From 2022 onwards, the points placed on the agenda were a more stable economic environment that would allow for an increase in agent confidence, the recovery of the labor market and the expansion of domestic demand. In addition, global growth is expected to accelerate with greater impetus to the export sectors, especially commodities; and greater economic stability, allowing for a more significant resumption of investments in the coming years, with emphasis on the infrastructure sector, generating effects on the productivity of the economy;

The load is expected to end the year with 66,793 average MW, an increase of 1,019 average MW in relation to the forecast of the 2nd quarterly review of 2020. When compared to the one carried out in 2019, the load for 2020 registers an expected reduction of 1,5%.

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