Economy

Brazil revises 2020 deficit, debt forecasts to record levels as crisis deepens

Reuters
22/05/2020 22:47
Visualizações: 1331 (0) (0) (0) (0)

Brazil’s government on Friday sharply revised its 2020 budget deficit and national debt forecasts to record levels, reflecting the hit to tax revenues and need for massive emergency spending caused by the coronavirus crisis

 

Based on the government’s economic forecasts, gross national debt is expected to reach 93.5% of GDP this year from around 78% currently, and net debt to rise to 67.6% of GDP, the Economy Ministry said in a presentation.

 

Taking into account emergency measures yet to be formally approved, the central government budget deficit excluding interest payments could balloon to 675.7 billion reais ($121 billion), or 9.4% of gross domestic product, the presentation said.

 

The broader public sector deficit, meanwhile, would reach 708.7 billion reais, or 9.9% of GDP, assuming these emergency measures are approved.

 

The projections were announced after the ministry issued new official forecasts in its latest bimonthly revenue and expenditure report, which included a central government primary deficit of 540.5 billion reais.

 

Even that would be more than four times the 124.1 billion reais shortfall originally projected at the start of the year.

 

Brazil’s economy is on course for its steepest annual downturn since records began in 1900. The government expects GDP to contract by 4.7%. The consensus in the central bank’s latest weekly survey of economists is for a 5.1% fall.

 

These predictions may already look optimistic. Swiss bank UBS on Thursday became the latest in a clutch of banks to slash their GDP forecast to show a fall of 7% or more.

 

In the revenue and expenditure report, the ministry lowered its 2020 revenue estimate by 111.2 billion reais to 1.21 trillion reais, and raised its primary spending forecast by 267.7 bln reais to 1.75 trillion reais.

 

Figures on Thursday showed that federal tax revenues slumped 29% in April to 101.15 billion reais the lowest tax take for that month since records began in 2007.

Most Read Today
see see
ADIPEC 2025
From energy to intelligence to impact: ADIPEC 2025 sets ...
07/11/25
ADIPEC 2025
ADIPEC 2025 Day 3: Energy, finance and technology leader...
07/11/25
Results
Petrobras reaches net income of R$ 32.7 billion in the t...
07/11/25
Cop30
IBP Advocates Global Criteria for a Just Energy Transition
07/11/25
Offshore
Decommissioning Takes Center Stage
07/11/25
Natural Gas
ANP Approves Action Plan on Gas Pipeline Transportation ...
07/11/25
ADIPEC 2025
AI is no longer a side project: Technology leaders at AD...
05/11/25
Environment
ANP Holds Workshop on Methane Emissions in Partnership w...
05/11/25
International Event
International Energy Event Opens Registration for Activities
05/11/25
RD&I
Norway and Brazil Launch New Joint Research Funding Call...
05/11/25
Partnership
DeepOcean and Jana Marine enter Saudi Arabia subsea part...
04/11/25
ADIPEC 2025
ADIPEC 2025: Industry calls for policy pragmatism, embra...
04/11/25
ADIPEC 2025
Johnson Matthey: Leadership and Innovation Driving the G...
31/10/25
OTC Brasil 2025
OTC Brazil connects the Equatorial Margin’s potential to...
30/10/25
OTC Brasil 2025
New Version of ANP’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Dynamic Da...
30/10/25
OTC Brasil 2025
Port of Açu and IKM Advance Partnership to Create Brazil...
30/10/25
OTC Brasil 2025
Port of Açu and SISTAC Sign Agreement to Provide Decommi...
29/10/25
Royalties
Royalties from August Production Distributed to States a...
29/10/25
OTC Brasil 2025
iUP Innovation Connections Links Innovation Strategy to ...
29/10/25
ANP
Permanent Production Sharing Offer: Registered Companies...
29/10/25
OTC Brasil 2025
Firjan Showcases Technology and Innovation Solutions for...
29/10/25
VEJA MAIS
Newsletter TN

Contact us

We use cookies to ensure you have the best experience on our website. If you continue to use this site, we will assume that you agree with our Privacy Policy, terms of use and cookies.