Economy

Brazil's Central Bank Expects Growth to Be 'Less Intense' This Year

Brazil's central bank on Thursday turned more pessimistic about the outlook for the Brazilian economy, softening its expectations for growth this year and suggesting a shift away from consumption as the main driver of growth is likely to take longer than expected.

The Wall Street Journal
05/06/2014 14:49
Visualizações: 1346 (0) (0) (0) (0)

Brazil's central bank on Thursday turned more pessimistic about the outlook for the Brazilian economy, softening its expectations for growth this year and suggesting a shift away from consumption as the main driver of growth is likely to take longer than expected.

 

The "pace of expansion for domestic activity will tend to be less intense this year, compared with 2013," the central bank's monetary policy committee said in minutes published on Thursday of its meeting held on May 27 and 28.

 

The central bank halted a year-long cycle of interest rate increases at that meeting, leaving the benchmark Selic rate on hold at 11%. Analysts are likely to interpret the concern expressed in the minutes as a signal that rates would remain on hold for some time.

 

The central bank said the full impact of the rate increases haven't yet been felt and that, given more modest levels of confidence in Brazil, their impact will be felt harder.

 

Brazil's economy ground to a near halt in the first quarter, when gross domestic product expanded 0.2% from the previous quarter.

 

The GDP growth hasn't cracked 3% since 2010, when it grew 7.5%. Analysts surveyed by the central bank expect economic output to expand 1.6% in 2014 and 1.9% next year. In 2013, the economy grew 2.5%.

 

Changes in the language of the statement indicated that the central bank believes a much-needed shift away from a reliance on consumption as the main driver of economic growth toward more output from industry and greater investments will now take longer than it had expected.

 

"On the supply side, the committee considers that, over a longer period, more favorable perspectives for the competitiveness of industry are emerging," the central bank said.

 

In contrast to its view of the local economy, the monetary authority said that, despite recent setbacks, it still expects the global economy to pick up pace this year.

Most Read Today
see see
BOGE2026
Smart Control Gains Prominence at Bahia Oil & Gas Energy...
09/06/26
BOGE2026
Bahia Oil & Gas Energy Concludes Historic Edition and Se...
06/06/26
Branded Content
Boaventura Energy Complex drives Brazil’s energy future ...
06/06/26
BOGE2026
Mayekawa do Brasil present at Bahia Oil & Gas Energy
06/06/26
BOGE2026
Benel Marks Presence at Bahia Oil & Gas Energy and Annou...
02/06/26
BOGE2026
Bahiagás Highlights Bahia’s Leading Role in the Energy T...
30/05/26
Investments
Petrobras Announces Investments of More Than R$ 70 Billi...
30/05/26
BOGE2026
Oil States Reinforces Commitment to Innovation and Opera...
29/05/26
BOGE2026
PetroReconcavo Discusses the Future of Oil and Gas at Ba...
29/05/26
BOGE2026
Lumina Group Makes Its Presence Felt at Bahia Oil & Gas ...
29/05/26
BOGE2026
Bahia Brings Together Industry, Innovation, and Business...
28/05/26
Royalties
Amounts related to March production for concession and t...
28/05/26
BOGE2026
Oil & Gas Expansion Boosts Demand for Industrial Waste T...
28/05/26
BOGE2026
BRAVA Energia Marks Presence at Bahia Oil & Gas Energy 2...
27/05/26
IBP
Brazil Can Expand Its Prominence as a Global Energy Supp...
27/05/26
Investments
Petrobras and Transpetro announce R$ 2.8 billion in inve...
27/05/26
International Company News
Jumbo orders a new class of versatile heavy lift vessels
27/05/26
BOGE2026
The Largest Oil and Gas Event in the North and Northeast...
25/05/26
BOGE2026
With production on the rise, independent players lead di...
25/05/26
ANP
ANP Workshop Debates Boosting Oil and Gas Exploration in...
25/05/26
BOGE2026
ANP participates in Bahia Oil & Gas Energy 2026, in Salvador
25/05/26
VEJA MAIS
Newsletter TN

Contact us

We use cookies to ensure you have the best experience on our website. If you continue to use this site, we will assume that you agree with our Privacy Policy, terms of use and cookies.